2010/04/07

Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Oakland Athletics

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 729
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Crisp,Coco 0.2480.3240.3700.317
2Davis,Rajai 0.2860.3400.3950.334
3Sweeney,Ryan 0.2910.3520.4150.339
4Kouzmanoff,Kevin 0.2640.3040.4480.323
5Suzuki,Kurt 0.2770.3310.4040.325
6Chavez,Eric 0.2420.3190.4270.326
7Ellis,Mark 0.2680.3270.4110.326
8Barton,Daric 0.2680.3610.4250.347
9Pennington,Cliff 0.2580.3330.3500.312
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 733
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Barton,Daric 0.2680.3610.4250.347
2Sweeney,Ryan 0.2910.3520.4150.339
3Chavez,Eric 0.2420.3190.4270.326
4Ellis,Mark 0.2680.3270.4110.326
5Davis,Rajai 0.2860.3400.3950.334
6Suzuki,Kurt 0.2770.3310.4040.325
7Kouzmanoff,Kevin 0.2640.3040.4480.323
8Crisp,Coco 0.2480.3240.3700.317
9Pennington,Cliff 0.2580.3330.3500.312
Optimized Lineup with Cust, Buck
Expected Runs/Season: 758

(Cust是ZiPS預測A's最好的打者)

# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Cust,Jack 0.2400.3770.4280.359
2Barton,Daric 0.2680.3610.4250.347
3Ellis,Mark 0.2680.3270.4110.326
4Sweeney,Ryan 0.2910.3520.4150.339
5Davis,Rajai 0.2860.3400.3950.334
6Suzuki,Kurt 0.2770.3310.4040.325
7Kouzmanoff,Kevin 0.2640.3040.4480.323
8Buck,Travis 0.2570.3250.3970.320
9Pennington,Cliff 0.2580.3330.3500.312
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Los Angeles Angels

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 833
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Aybar,Erick 0.2890.3310.4060.325
2Abreu,Bobby 0.2830.3780.4360.365
3Hunter,Torii 0.2880.3500.4890.363
4Matsui,Hideki 0.2810.3610.4620.359
5Morales,Kendry 0.2870.3360.4850.351
6Rivera,Juan 0.2810.3300.4600.340
7Kendrick,Howie 0.2940.3310.4370.335
8Napoli,Mike 0.2600.3500.4880.361
9Wood,Brandon 0.2440.3010.4220.314
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 838
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Abreu,Bobby 0.2830.3780.4360.365
2Matsui,Hideki 0.2810.3610.4620.359
3Napoli,Mike 0.2600.3500.4880.361
4Hunter,Torii 0.2880.3500.4890.363
5Morales,Kendry 0.2870.3360.4850.351
6Kendrick,Howie 0.2940.3310.4370.335
7Rivera,Juan 0.2810.3300.4600.340
8Wood,Brandon 0.2440.3010.4220.314
9Aybar,Erick 0.2890.3310.4060.325
Optimized Lineup with Izturis
Expected Runs/Season: 854
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Abreu,Bobby 0.2830.3780.4360.365
2Matsui,Hideki 0.2810.3610.4620.359
3Napoli,Mike 0.2600.3500.4880.361
4Hunter,Torii 0.2880.3500.4890.363
5Morales,Kendry 0.2870.3360.4850.351
6Izturis,Maicer 0.2850.3510.4110.340
7Rivera,Juan 0.2810.3300.4600.340
8Kendrick,Howie 0.2940.3310.4370.335
9Aybar,Erick 0.2890.3310.4060.325
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2010/04/06

Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Washington Nationals

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 689
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Morgan,Nyjer 0.2810.3330.3590.316
2Harris,Willie 0.2490.3420.3970.331
3Zimmerman,Ryan 0.2850.3570.5010.369
4Dunn,Adam 0.2560.3890.5120.390
5Willingham,Josh 0.2640.3510.4910.363
6Kennedy,Adam 0.2740.3300.3820.318
7Rodriguez,Ivan 0.2540.2880.3740.290
8Desmond,Ian 0.2700.3320.3880.323
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 696
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Desmond,Ian 0.2700.3320.3880.323
2Dunn,Adam 0.2560.3890.5120.390
3Willingham,Josh 0.2640.3510.4910.363
4Zimmerman,Ryan 0.2850.3570.5010.369
5Harris,Willie 0.2490.3420.3970.331
6Morgan,Nyjer 0.2810.3330.3590.316
7Kennedy,Adam 0.2740.3300.3820.318
8Rodriguez,Ivan 0.2540.2880.3740.290
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup with Dukes
Expected Runs/Season: 702

(其實照ZiPS的預測, 把Morgan換下去可以打下713分, 當然打下最多分的陣容不見得是最佳陣容, Morgan的防守很可能可以比Dukes省下10分以上)

# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Desmond,Ian 0.2700.3320.3880.323
2Dunn,Adam 0.2560.3890.5120.390
3Willingham,Josh 0.2640.3510.4910.363
4Zimmerman,Ryan 0.2850.3570.5010.369
5Dukes,Elijah 0.2540.3500.4320.341
6Morgan,Nyjer 0.2810.3330.3590.316
7Kennedy,Adam 0.2740.3300.3820.318
8Rodriguez,Ivan 0.2540.2880.3740.290
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Philadelphia Phillies

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 820
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Rollins,Jimmy 0.2740.3310.4480.346
2Polanco,Placido 0.3020.3440.4210.337
3Utley,Chase 0.3010.3830.5280.396
4Howard,Ryan 0.2730.3690.5720.397
5Werth,Jayson 0.2720.3690.4950.378
6Ibanez,Raul 0.2890.3600.5310.380
7Victorino,Shane 0.2900.3510.4420.351
8Ruiz,Carlos 0.2510.3400.3910.326
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 827

(又一個很詭異的陣容)

# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Ruiz,Carlos 0.2510.3400.3910.326
2Werth,Jayson 0.2720.3690.4950.378
3Howard,Ryan 0.2730.3690.5720.397
4Utley,Chase 0.3010.3830.5280.396
5Ibanez,Raul 0.2890.3600.5310.380
6Victorino,Shane 0.2900.3510.4420.351
7Rollins,Jimmy 0.2740.3310.4480.346
8Polanco,Placido 0.3020.3440.4210.337
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 New York Mets

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 766
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Reyes,Jose 0.2940.3650.4550.369
2Castillo,Luis 0.2900.3720.3490.335
3Wright,David 0.3070.4000.5070.398
4Beltran,Carlos 0.2940.3860.5140.394
5Bay,Jason 0.2700.3660.5230.382
6Murphy,Daniel 0.2740.3310.4080.325
7Francoeur,Jeff 0.2690.3100.4250.318
8Barajas,Rod 0.2290.2790.3820.288
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 770
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Castillo,Luis 0.2900.3720.3490.335
2Wright,David 0.3070.4000.5070.398
3Bay,Jason 0.2700.3660.5230.382
4Beltran,Carlos 0.2940.3860.5140.394
5Reyes,Jose 0.2940.3650.4550.369
6Murphy,Daniel 0.2740.3310.4080.325
7Francoeur,Jeff 0.2690.3100.4250.318
8Barajas,Rod 0.2290.2790.3820.288
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup without Beltran, Reyes
Expected Runs/Season: 696

(這就是Mets今年可能打不到700分的原因)

(註:ZiPS預測Jacobs和Tatis打得比Murphy好)

# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Castillo,Luis 0.2900.3720.3490.335
2Wright,David 0.3070.4000.5070.398
3Bay,Jason 0.2700.3660.5230.382
4Pagan,Angel 0.2850.3420.4460.346
5Murphy,Daniel 0.2740.3310.4080.325
6Francoeur,Jeff 0.2690.3100.4250.318
7Barajas,Rod 0.2290.2790.3820.288
8Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
9Cora,Alex 0.2510.3110.3360.292
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Florida Marlins

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 708
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Coghlan,Chris 0.2870.3560.4130.344
2Maybin,Cameron 0.2430.3240.3540.307
3Ramirez,Hanley 0.3200.3920.5370.405
4Cantu,Jorge 0.2710.3260.4340.331
5Uggla,Dan 0.2460.3400.4620.348
6Ross,Cody 0.2620.3180.4730.340
7Baker,John 0.2550.3350.3880.322
8Sanchez,Gaby 0.2720.3460.4160.337
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 713
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Baker,John 0.2550.3350.3880.322
2Uggla,Dan 0.2460.3400.4620.348
3Sanchez,Gaby 0.2720.3460.4160.337
4Ramirez,Hanley 0.3200.3920.5370.405
5Coghlan,Chris 0.2870.3560.4130.344
6Cantu,Jorge 0.2710.3260.4340.331
7Ross,Cody 0.2620.3180.4730.340
8Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
9Maybin,Cameron 0.2430.3240.3540.307
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Atlanta Braves

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 791
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1McLouth,Nate 0.2680.3490.4670.358
2Prado,Martin 0.3000.3540.4390.347
3Jones,Chipper 0.2950.4080.4650.387
4Glaus,Troy 0.2520.3610.4410.354
5McCann,Brian 0.2880.3550.4970.367
6Escobar,Yunel 0.2940.3620.4160.345
7Heyward,Jason 0.2750.3440.4290.341
8Diaz,Matt 0.3070.3550.4630.358
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 796
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Jones,Chipper 0.2950.4080.4650.387
2Glaus,Troy 0.2520.3610.4410.354
3Escobar,Yunel 0.2940.3620.4160.345
4McCann,Brian 0.2880.3550.4970.367
5Prado,Martin 0.3000.3540.4390.347
6Diaz,Matt 0.3070.3550.4630.358
7McLouth,Nate 0.2680.3490.4670.358
8Heyward,Jason 0.2750.3440.4290.341
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168

Braves的先發八人也就是ZiPS預測隊上最能打的前八名

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2010/04/05

Lineup Evaluation - 2010 St. Louis Cardinals

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 792
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Schumaker,Skip 0.2990.3580.4040.339
2Rasmus,Colby 0.2600.3270.4110.327
3Pujols,Albert 0.3330.4430.6350.455
4Holliday,Matt 0.3080.3840.5280.394
5Ludwick,Ryan 0.2820.3460.5110.366
6Molina,Yadier 0.2890.3520.3890.331
7Freese,David 0.2650.3260.4290.330
8Ryan,Brendan 0.2740.3250.3720.312
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 795
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Molina,Yadier 0.2890.3520.3890.331
2Schumaker,Skip 0.2990.3580.4040.339
3Pujols,Albert 0.3330.4430.6350.455
4Holliday,Matt 0.3080.3840.5280.394
5Ludwick,Ryan 0.2820.3460.5110.366
6Rasmus,Colby 0.2600.3270.4110.327
7Freese,David 0.2650.3260.4290.330
8Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
9Ryan,Brendan 0.2740.3250.3720.312
Optimized Lineup with Felipe Lopez
Expected Runs/Season: 802

(ZiPS預測Allen Criag有279/330/434, 是比Freese好, 但是他還沒有大聯盟經驗, 所以不考慮他的預測成績)

# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Schumaker,Skip 0.2990.3580.4040.339
2Pujols,Albert 0.3330.4430.6350.455
3Holliday,Matt 0.3080.3840.5280.394
4Molina,Yadier 0.2890.3520.3890.331
5Ludwick,Ryan 0.2820.3460.5110.366
6Rasmus,Colby 0.2600.3270.4110.327
7Freese,David 0.2650.3260.4290.330
8Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
9Lopez,Felipe 0.2660.3420.3770.322
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Pittsburgh Pirates

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 683
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Iwamura,Akinori 0.2860.3590.4000.339
2McCutchen,Andrew 0.2810.3560.4460.354
3Jones,Garrett 0.2850.3440.4940.361
4Doumit,Ryan 0.2760.3270.4520.338
5Milledge,Lastings 0.2720.3220.3980.319
6Clement,Jeff 0.2660.3370.4610.345
7LaRoche,Andy 0.2600.3430.3990.330
8Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
9Cedeno,Ronny 0.2520.3010.3860.302
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 689
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1LaRoche,Andy 0.2600.3430.3990.330
2Iwamura,Akinori 0.2860.3590.4000.339
3Clement,Jeff 0.2660.3370.4610.345
4Jones,Garrett 0.2850.3440.4940.361
5McCutchen,Andrew 0.2810.3560.4460.354
6Doumit,Ryan 0.2760.3270.4520.338
7Milledge,Lastings 0.2720.3220.3980.319
8Cedeno,Ronny 0.2520.3010.3860.302
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup with Church
Expected Runs/Season: 703
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1LaRoche,Andy 0.2600.3430.3990.330
2Iwamura,Akinori 0.2860.3590.4000.339
3Church,Ryan 0.2780.3460.4390.344
4Jones,Garrett 0.2850.3440.4940.361
5McCutchen,Andrew 0.2810.3560.4460.354
6Clement,Jeff 0.2660.3370.4610.345
7Doumit,Ryan 0.2760.3270.4520.338
8Cedeno,Ronny 0.2520.3010.3860.302
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Milwaukee Brewers

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 698
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Weeks,Rickie 0.2400.3320.4190.333
2Escobar,Alcides 0.2790.3220.3780.315
3Braun,Ryan 0.2950.3560.5540.386
4Fielder,Prince 0.2770.3800.5520.397
5McGehee,Casey 0.2630.3220.3970.316
6Hart,Corey 0.2630.3210.4530.334
7Zaun,Gregg 0.2430.3460.3730.325
8Gomez,Carlos 0.2500.3040.3690.302
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 706
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Zaun,Gregg 0.2430.3460.3730.325
2Fielder,Prince 0.2770.3800.5520.397
3Weeks,Rickie 0.2400.3320.4190.333
4Braun,Ryan 0.2950.3560.5540.386
5Hart,Corey 0.2630.3210.4530.334
6Escobar,Alcides 0.2790.3220.3780.315
7Gomez,Carlos 0.2500.3040.3690.302
8McGehee,Casey 0.2630.3220.3970.316
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup with Gerut
Expected Runs/Season: 726

(不太確定Edmonds還能不能守CF, 不過ZiPS認為他是比Hart和Gerut都差的打者)

# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Zaun,Gregg 0.2430.3460.3730.325
2Fielder,Prince 0.2770.3800.5520.397
3Weeks,Rickie 0.2400.3320.4190.333
4Braun,Ryan 0.2950.3560.5540.386
5Gerut,Jody 0.2670.3260.4430.334
6Escobar,Alcides 0.2790.3220.3780.315
7Hart,Corey 0.2630.3210.4530.334
8McGehee,Casey 0.2630.3220.3970.316
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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