Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Philadelphia Phillies

Projected Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 820

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Rollins,Jimmy	0.274	0.331	0.448	0.346
2	Polanco,Placido	0.302	0.344	0.421	0.337
3	Utley,Chase	0.301	0.383	0.528	0.396
4	Howard,Ryan	0.273	0.369	0.572	0.397
5	Werth,Jayson	0.272	0.369	0.495	0.378
6	Ibanez,Raul	0.289	0.360	0.531	0.380
7	Victorino,Shane	0.290	0.351	0.442	0.351
8	Ruiz,Carlos	0.251	0.340	0.391	0.326
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

Optimized Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 827

(又一個很詭異的陣容)

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Ruiz,Carlos	0.251	0.340	0.391	0.326
2	Werth,Jayson	0.272	0.369	0.495	0.378
3	Howard,Ryan	0.273	0.369	0.572	0.397
4	Utley,Chase	0.301	0.383	0.528	0.396
5	Ibanez,Raul	0.289	0.360	0.531	0.380
6	Victorino,Shane	0.290	0.351	0.442	0.351
7	Rollins,Jimmy	0.274	0.331	0.448	0.346
8	Polanco,Placido	0.302	0.344	0.421	0.337
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

2010 Lineup Evaluations

繼續閱讀

Lineup Evaluation - 2010 New York Mets

Projected Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 766

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Reyes,Jose	0.294	0.365	0.455	0.369
2	Castillo,Luis	0.290	0.372	0.349	0.335
3	Wright,David	0.307	0.400	0.507	0.398
4	Beltran,Carlos	0.294	0.386	0.514	0.394
5	Bay,Jason	0.270	0.366	0.523	0.382
6	Murphy,Daniel	0.274	0.331	0.408	0.325
7	Francoeur,Jeff	0.269	0.310	0.425	0.318
8	Barajas,Rod	0.229	0.279	0.382	0.288
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

Optimized Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 770

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Castillo,Luis	0.290	0.372	0.349	0.335
2	Wright,David	0.307	0.400	0.507	0.398
3	Bay,Jason	0.270	0.366	0.523	0.382
4	Beltran,Carlos	0.294	0.386	0.514	0.394
5	Reyes,Jose	0.294	0.365	0.455	0.369
6	Murphy,Daniel	0.274	0.331	0.408	0.325
7	Francoeur,Jeff	0.269	0.310	0.425	0.318
8	Barajas,Rod	0.229	0.279	0.382	0.288
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

Optimized Lineup without Beltran, Reyes

Expected Runs/Season: 696

(這就是Mets今年可能打不到700分的原因)

(註:ZiPS預測Jacobs和Tatis打得比Murphy好)

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Castillo,Luis	0.290	0.372	0.349	0.335
2	Wright,David	0.307	0.400	0.507	0.398
3	Bay,Jason	0.270	0.366	0.523	0.382
4	Pagan,Angel	0.285	0.342	0.446	0.346
5	Murphy,Daniel	0.274	0.331	0.408	0.325
6	Francoeur,Jeff	0.269	0.310	0.425	0.318
7	Barajas,Rod	0.229	0.279	0.382	0.288
8	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168
9	Cora,Alex	0.251	0.311	0.336	0.292

2010 Lineup Evaluations

繼續閱讀

Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Florida Marlins

Projected Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 708

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Coghlan,Chris	0.287	0.356	0.413	0.344
2	Maybin,Cameron	0.243	0.324	0.354	0.307
3	Ramirez,Hanley	0.320	0.392	0.537	0.405
4	Cantu,Jorge	0.271	0.326	0.434	0.331
5	Uggla,Dan	0.246	0.340	0.462	0.348
6	Ross,Cody	0.262	0.318	0.473	0.340
7	Baker,John	0.255	0.335	0.388	0.322
8	Sanchez,Gaby	0.272	0.346	0.416	0.337
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

Optimized Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 713

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Baker,John	0.255	0.335	0.388	0.322
2	Uggla,Dan	0.246	0.340	0.462	0.348
3	Sanchez,Gaby	0.272	0.346	0.416	0.337
4	Ramirez,Hanley	0.320	0.392	0.537	0.405
5	Coghlan,Chris	0.287	0.356	0.413	0.344
6	Cantu,Jorge	0.271	0.326	0.434	0.331
7	Ross,Cody	0.262	0.318	0.473	0.340
8	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168
9	Maybin,Cameron	0.243	0.324	0.354	0.307

2010 Lineup Evaluations

繼續閱讀

Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Atlanta Braves

Projected Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 791

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	McLouth,Nate	0.268	0.349	0.467	0.358
2	Prado,Martin	0.300	0.354	0.439	0.347
3	Jones,Chipper	0.295	0.408	0.465	0.387
4	Glaus,Troy	0.252	0.361	0.441	0.354
5	McCann,Brian	0.288	0.355	0.497	0.367
6	Escobar,Yunel	0.294	0.362	0.416	0.345
7	Heyward,Jason	0.275	0.344	0.429	0.341
8	Diaz,Matt	0.307	0.355	0.463	0.358
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

Optimized Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 796

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Jones,Chipper	0.295	0.408	0.465	0.387
2	Glaus,Troy	0.252	0.361	0.441	0.354
3	Escobar,Yunel	0.294	0.362	0.416	0.345
4	McCann,Brian	0.288	0.355	0.497	0.367
5	Prado,Martin	0.300	0.354	0.439	0.347
6	Diaz,Matt	0.307	0.355	0.463	0.358
7	McLouth,Nate	0.268	0.349	0.467	0.358
8	Heyward,Jason	0.275	0.344	0.429	0.341
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

Braves的先發八人也就是ZiPS預測隊上最能打的前八名

2010 Lineup Evaluations

繼續閱讀

Lineup Evaluation - 2010 St. Louis Cardinals

Projected Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 792

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Schumaker,Skip	0.299	0.358	0.404	0.339
2	Rasmus,Colby	0.260	0.327	0.411	0.327
3	Pujols,Albert	0.333	0.443	0.635	0.455
4	Holliday,Matt	0.308	0.384	0.528	0.394
5	Ludwick,Ryan	0.282	0.346	0.511	0.366
6	Molina,Yadier	0.289	0.352	0.389	0.331
7	Freese,David	0.265	0.326	0.429	0.330
8	Ryan,Brendan	0.274	0.325	0.372	0.312
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

Optimized Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 795

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Molina,Yadier	0.289	0.352	0.389	0.331
2	Schumaker,Skip	0.299	0.358	0.404	0.339
3	Pujols,Albert	0.333	0.443	0.635	0.455
4	Holliday,Matt	0.308	0.384	0.528	0.394
5	Ludwick,Ryan	0.282	0.346	0.511	0.366
6	Rasmus,Colby	0.260	0.327	0.411	0.327
7	Freese,David	0.265	0.326	0.429	0.330
8	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168
9	Ryan,Brendan	0.274	0.325	0.372	0.312

Optimized Lineup with Felipe Lopez

Expected Runs/Season: 802

(ZiPS預測Allen Criag有279/330/434, 是比Freese好, 但是他還沒有大聯盟經驗, 所以不考慮他的預測成績)

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Schumaker,Skip	0.299	0.358	0.404	0.339
2	Pujols,Albert	0.333	0.443	0.635	0.455
3	Holliday,Matt	0.308	0.384	0.528	0.394
4	Molina,Yadier	0.289	0.352	0.389	0.331
5	Ludwick,Ryan	0.282	0.346	0.511	0.366
6	Rasmus,Colby	0.260	0.327	0.411	0.327
7	Freese,David	0.265	0.326	0.429	0.330
8	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168
9	Lopez,Felipe	0.266	0.342	0.377	0.322

2010 Lineup Evaluations

繼續閱讀

Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Pittsburgh Pirates

Projected Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 683

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Iwamura,Akinori	0.286	0.359	0.400	0.339
2	McCutchen,Andrew	0.281	0.356	0.446	0.354
3	Jones,Garrett	0.285	0.344	0.494	0.361
4	Doumit,Ryan	0.276	0.327	0.452	0.338
5	Milledge,Lastings	0.272	0.322	0.398	0.319
6	Clement,Jeff	0.266	0.337	0.461	0.345
7	LaRoche,Andy	0.260	0.343	0.399	0.330
8	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168
9	Cedeno,Ronny	0.252	0.301	0.386	0.302

Optimized Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 689

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	LaRoche,Andy	0.260	0.343	0.399	0.330
2	Iwamura,Akinori	0.286	0.359	0.400	0.339
3	Clement,Jeff	0.266	0.337	0.461	0.345
4	Jones,Garrett	0.285	0.344	0.494	0.361
5	McCutchen,Andrew	0.281	0.356	0.446	0.354
6	Doumit,Ryan	0.276	0.327	0.452	0.338
7	Milledge,Lastings	0.272	0.322	0.398	0.319
8	Cedeno,Ronny	0.252	0.301	0.386	0.302
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

Optimized Lineup with Church

Expected Runs/Season: 703

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	LaRoche,Andy	0.260	0.343	0.399	0.330
2	Iwamura,Akinori	0.286	0.359	0.400	0.339
3	Church,Ryan	0.278	0.346	0.439	0.344
4	Jones,Garrett	0.285	0.344	0.494	0.361
5	McCutchen,Andrew	0.281	0.356	0.446	0.354
6	Clement,Jeff	0.266	0.337	0.461	0.345
7	Doumit,Ryan	0.276	0.327	0.452	0.338
8	Cedeno,Ronny	0.252	0.301	0.386	0.302
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

2010 Lineup Evaluations

繼續閱讀

Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Milwaukee Brewers

Projected Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 698

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Weeks,Rickie	0.240	0.332	0.419	0.333
2	Escobar,Alcides	0.279	0.322	0.378	0.315
3	Braun,Ryan	0.295	0.356	0.554	0.386
4	Fielder,Prince	0.277	0.380	0.552	0.397
5	McGehee,Casey	0.263	0.322	0.397	0.316
6	Hart,Corey	0.263	0.321	0.453	0.334
7	Zaun,Gregg	0.243	0.346	0.373	0.325
8	Gomez,Carlos	0.250	0.304	0.369	0.302
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

Optimized Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 706

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Zaun,Gregg	0.243	0.346	0.373	0.325
2	Fielder,Prince	0.277	0.380	0.552	0.397
3	Weeks,Rickie	0.240	0.332	0.419	0.333
4	Braun,Ryan	0.295	0.356	0.554	0.386
5	Hart,Corey	0.263	0.321	0.453	0.334
6	Escobar,Alcides	0.279	0.322	0.378	0.315
7	Gomez,Carlos	0.250	0.304	0.369	0.302
8	McGehee,Casey	0.263	0.322	0.397	0.316
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

Optimized Lineup with Gerut

Expected Runs/Season: 726

(不太確定Edmonds還能不能守CF, 不過ZiPS認為他是比Hart和Gerut都差的打者)

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Zaun,Gregg	0.243	0.346	0.373	0.325
2	Fielder,Prince	0.277	0.380	0.552	0.397
3	Weeks,Rickie	0.240	0.332	0.419	0.333
4	Braun,Ryan	0.295	0.356	0.554	0.386
5	Gerut,Jody	0.267	0.326	0.443	0.334
6	Escobar,Alcides	0.279	0.322	0.378	0.315
7	Hart,Corey	0.263	0.321	0.453	0.334
8	McGehee,Casey	0.263	0.322	0.397	0.316
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

2010 Lineup Evaluations

繼續閱讀

Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Houston Astros

Projected Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 662

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Bourn,Michael	0.260	0.330	0.354	0.317
2	Matsui,Kaz	0.261	0.319	0.373	0.312
3	Berkman,Lance	0.279	0.394	0.517	0.394
4	Lee,Carlos	0.298	0.354	0.514	0.372
5	Pence,Hunter	0.277	0.337	0.475	0.350
6	Feliz,Pedro	0.254	0.302	0.391	0.303
7	Towles,Justin	0.243	0.307	0.375	0.300
8	Manzella,Thomas	0.247	0.297	0.346	0.286
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

Optimized Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 663

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Bourn,Michael	0.260	0.330	0.354	0.317
2	Berkman,Lance	0.279	0.394	0.517	0.394
3	Pence,Hunter	0.277	0.337	0.475	0.350
4	Lee,Carlos	0.298	0.354	0.514	0.372
5	Matsui,Kaz	0.261	0.319	0.373	0.312
6	Towles,Justin	0.243	0.307	0.375	0.300
7	Feliz,Pedro	0.254	0.302	0.391	0.303
8	Manzella,Thomas	0.247	0.297	0.346	0.286
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

Optimized Lineup with Keppinger

Expected Runs/Season: 682

(用Sullivan取代Bourn並不會打下更多分數)

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Bourn,Michael	0.260	0.330	0.354	0.317
2	Keppinger,Jeff	0.279	0.336	0.385	0.319
3	Berkman,Lance	0.279	0.394	0.517	0.394
4	Lee,Carlos	0.298	0.354	0.514	0.372
5	Pence,Hunter	0.277	0.337	0.475	0.350
6	Matsui,Kaz	0.261	0.319	0.373	0.312
7	Towles,Justin	0.243	0.307	0.375	0.300
8	Feliz,Pedro	0.254	0.302	0.391	0.303
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

2010 Lineup Evaluations

繼續閱讀

Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Cincinnati Reds

Projected Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 681

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Stubbs,Drew	0.235	0.307	0.348	0.297
2	Cabrera,Orlando	0.291	0.344	0.396	0.332
3	Votto,Joey	0.293	0.374	0.500	0.378
4	Phillips,Brandon	0.276	0.326	0.446	0.339
5	Rolen,Scott	0.283	0.352	0.439	0.347
6	Bruce,Jay	0.251	0.317	0.459	0.333
7	Gomes,Jonny	0.243	0.321	0.471	0.342
8	Hernandez,Ramon	0.255	0.323	0.385	0.314
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

Optimized Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 685

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Cabrera,Orlando	0.291	0.344	0.396	0.332
2	Votto,Joey	0.293	0.374	0.500	0.378
3	Gomes,Jonny	0.243	0.321	0.471	0.342
4	Rolen,Scott	0.283	0.352	0.439	0.347
5	Phillips,Brandon	0.276	0.326	0.446	0.339
6	Hernandez,Ramon	0.255	0.323	0.385	0.314
7	Bruce,Jay	0.251	0.317	0.459	0.333
8	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168
9	Stubbs,Drew	0.235	0.307	0.348	0.297

Optimized Lineup with Dickerson, Hanigan

Expected Runs/Season: 706

(ZiPS相當看衰Stubbs)

(這打線不管從傳統角度或stathead角度都相當地詭異)

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Hanigan,Ryan	0.267	0.343	0.357	0.317
2	Dickerson,Chris	0.247	0.337	0.394	0.330
3	Votto,Joey	0.293	0.374	0.500	0.378
4	Rolen,Scott	0.283	0.352	0.439	0.347
5	Cabrera,Orlando	0.291	0.344	0.396	0.332
6	Phillips,Brandon	0.276	0.326	0.446	0.339
7	Gomes,Jonny	0.243	0.321	0.471	0.342
8	Bruce,Jay	0.251	0.317	0.459	0.333
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

2010 Lineup Evaluations

繼續閱讀

Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Chicago Cubs

Projected Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 767

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Theriot,Ryan	0.287	0.352	0.373	0.329
2	Fukudome,Kosuke	0.259	0.366	0.412	0.346
3	Lee,Derrek	0.293	0.374	0.502	0.379
4	Ramirez,Aramis	0.295	0.364	0.519	0.378
5	Byrd,Marlon	0.291	0.341	0.463	0.348
6	Soriano,Alfonso	0.268	0.328	0.494	0.353
7	Fontenot,Mike	0.263	0.333	0.421	0.331
8	Soto,Geovany	0.262	0.347	0.459	0.351
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

Optimized Lineup

Expected Runs/Season: 768

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Fukudome,Kosuke	0.259	0.366	0.412	0.346
2	Lee,Derrek	0.293	0.374	0.502	0.379
3	Soto,Geovany	0.262	0.347	0.459	0.351
4	Ramirez,Aramis	0.295	0.364	0.519	0.378
5	Theriot,Ryan	0.287	0.352	0.373	0.329
6	Byrd,Marlon	0.291	0.341	0.463	0.348
7	Fontenot,Mike	0.263	0.333	0.421	0.331
8	Soriano,Alfonso	0.268	0.328	0.494	0.353
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

Optimized Lineup with Xavier Nady

Expected Runs/Season: 768

(事實上比使用Fukudome還低一點. 如果讓Fukudome和Nady一起先發, Byrd坐板凳, 一樣是768分)

#	Batter	AVG	OBP*	SLG	wOBA*
1	Theriot,Ryan	0.287	0.352	0.373	0.329
2	Lee,Derrek	0.293	0.374	0.502	0.379
3	Soto,Geovany	0.262	0.347	0.459	0.351
4	Ramirez,Aramis	0.295	0.364	0.519	0.378
5	Byrd,Marlon	0.291	0.341	0.463	0.348
6	Fontenot,Mike	0.263	0.333	0.421	0.331
7	Nady,Xavier	0.288	0.332	0.473	0.346
8	Soriano,Alfonso	0.268	0.328	0.494	0.353
9	Pitcher	0.139	0.183	0.176	0.168

2010 Lineup Evaluations

繼續閱讀