2010/04/06

Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Florida Marlins

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 708
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Coghlan,Chris 0.2870.3560.4130.344
2Maybin,Cameron 0.2430.3240.3540.307
3Ramirez,Hanley 0.3200.3920.5370.405
4Cantu,Jorge 0.2710.3260.4340.331
5Uggla,Dan 0.2460.3400.4620.348
6Ross,Cody 0.2620.3180.4730.340
7Baker,John 0.2550.3350.3880.322
8Sanchez,Gaby 0.2720.3460.4160.337
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 713
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Baker,John 0.2550.3350.3880.322
2Uggla,Dan 0.2460.3400.4620.348
3Sanchez,Gaby 0.2720.3460.4160.337
4Ramirez,Hanley 0.3200.3920.5370.405
5Coghlan,Chris 0.2870.3560.4130.344
6Cantu,Jorge 0.2710.3260.4340.331
7Ross,Cody 0.2620.3180.4730.340
8Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
9Maybin,Cameron 0.2430.3240.3540.307
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Atlanta Braves

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 791
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1McLouth,Nate 0.2680.3490.4670.358
2Prado,Martin 0.3000.3540.4390.347
3Jones,Chipper 0.2950.4080.4650.387
4Glaus,Troy 0.2520.3610.4410.354
5McCann,Brian 0.2880.3550.4970.367
6Escobar,Yunel 0.2940.3620.4160.345
7Heyward,Jason 0.2750.3440.4290.341
8Diaz,Matt 0.3070.3550.4630.358
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 796
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Jones,Chipper 0.2950.4080.4650.387
2Glaus,Troy 0.2520.3610.4410.354
3Escobar,Yunel 0.2940.3620.4160.345
4McCann,Brian 0.2880.3550.4970.367
5Prado,Martin 0.3000.3540.4390.347
6Diaz,Matt 0.3070.3550.4630.358
7McLouth,Nate 0.2680.3490.4670.358
8Heyward,Jason 0.2750.3440.4290.341
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168

Braves的先發八人也就是ZiPS預測隊上最能打的前八名

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2010/04/05

Lineup Evaluation - 2010 St. Louis Cardinals

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 792
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Schumaker,Skip 0.2990.3580.4040.339
2Rasmus,Colby 0.2600.3270.4110.327
3Pujols,Albert 0.3330.4430.6350.455
4Holliday,Matt 0.3080.3840.5280.394
5Ludwick,Ryan 0.2820.3460.5110.366
6Molina,Yadier 0.2890.3520.3890.331
7Freese,David 0.2650.3260.4290.330
8Ryan,Brendan 0.2740.3250.3720.312
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 795
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Molina,Yadier 0.2890.3520.3890.331
2Schumaker,Skip 0.2990.3580.4040.339
3Pujols,Albert 0.3330.4430.6350.455
4Holliday,Matt 0.3080.3840.5280.394
5Ludwick,Ryan 0.2820.3460.5110.366
6Rasmus,Colby 0.2600.3270.4110.327
7Freese,David 0.2650.3260.4290.330
8Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
9Ryan,Brendan 0.2740.3250.3720.312
Optimized Lineup with Felipe Lopez
Expected Runs/Season: 802

(ZiPS預測Allen Criag有279/330/434, 是比Freese好, 但是他還沒有大聯盟經驗, 所以不考慮他的預測成績)

# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Schumaker,Skip 0.2990.3580.4040.339
2Pujols,Albert 0.3330.4430.6350.455
3Holliday,Matt 0.3080.3840.5280.394
4Molina,Yadier 0.2890.3520.3890.331
5Ludwick,Ryan 0.2820.3460.5110.366
6Rasmus,Colby 0.2600.3270.4110.327
7Freese,David 0.2650.3260.4290.330
8Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
9Lopez,Felipe 0.2660.3420.3770.322
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Pittsburgh Pirates

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 683
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Iwamura,Akinori 0.2860.3590.4000.339
2McCutchen,Andrew 0.2810.3560.4460.354
3Jones,Garrett 0.2850.3440.4940.361
4Doumit,Ryan 0.2760.3270.4520.338
5Milledge,Lastings 0.2720.3220.3980.319
6Clement,Jeff 0.2660.3370.4610.345
7LaRoche,Andy 0.2600.3430.3990.330
8Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
9Cedeno,Ronny 0.2520.3010.3860.302
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 689
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1LaRoche,Andy 0.2600.3430.3990.330
2Iwamura,Akinori 0.2860.3590.4000.339
3Clement,Jeff 0.2660.3370.4610.345
4Jones,Garrett 0.2850.3440.4940.361
5McCutchen,Andrew 0.2810.3560.4460.354
6Doumit,Ryan 0.2760.3270.4520.338
7Milledge,Lastings 0.2720.3220.3980.319
8Cedeno,Ronny 0.2520.3010.3860.302
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup with Church
Expected Runs/Season: 703
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1LaRoche,Andy 0.2600.3430.3990.330
2Iwamura,Akinori 0.2860.3590.4000.339
3Church,Ryan 0.2780.3460.4390.344
4Jones,Garrett 0.2850.3440.4940.361
5McCutchen,Andrew 0.2810.3560.4460.354
6Clement,Jeff 0.2660.3370.4610.345
7Doumit,Ryan 0.2760.3270.4520.338
8Cedeno,Ronny 0.2520.3010.3860.302
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Milwaukee Brewers

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 698
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Weeks,Rickie 0.2400.3320.4190.333
2Escobar,Alcides 0.2790.3220.3780.315
3Braun,Ryan 0.2950.3560.5540.386
4Fielder,Prince 0.2770.3800.5520.397
5McGehee,Casey 0.2630.3220.3970.316
6Hart,Corey 0.2630.3210.4530.334
7Zaun,Gregg 0.2430.3460.3730.325
8Gomez,Carlos 0.2500.3040.3690.302
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 706
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Zaun,Gregg 0.2430.3460.3730.325
2Fielder,Prince 0.2770.3800.5520.397
3Weeks,Rickie 0.2400.3320.4190.333
4Braun,Ryan 0.2950.3560.5540.386
5Hart,Corey 0.2630.3210.4530.334
6Escobar,Alcides 0.2790.3220.3780.315
7Gomez,Carlos 0.2500.3040.3690.302
8McGehee,Casey 0.2630.3220.3970.316
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup with Gerut
Expected Runs/Season: 726

(不太確定Edmonds還能不能守CF, 不過ZiPS認為他是比Hart和Gerut都差的打者)

# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Zaun,Gregg 0.2430.3460.3730.325
2Fielder,Prince 0.2770.3800.5520.397
3Weeks,Rickie 0.2400.3320.4190.333
4Braun,Ryan 0.2950.3560.5540.386
5Gerut,Jody 0.2670.3260.4430.334
6Escobar,Alcides 0.2790.3220.3780.315
7Hart,Corey 0.2630.3210.4530.334
8McGehee,Casey 0.2630.3220.3970.316
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Houston Astros

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 662
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Bourn,Michael 0.2600.3300.3540.317
2Matsui,Kaz 0.2610.3190.3730.312
3Berkman,Lance 0.2790.3940.5170.394
4Lee,Carlos 0.2980.3540.5140.372
5Pence,Hunter 0.2770.3370.4750.350
6Feliz,Pedro 0.2540.3020.3910.303
7Towles,Justin 0.2430.3070.3750.300
8Manzella,Thomas 0.2470.2970.3460.286
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 663
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Bourn,Michael 0.2600.3300.3540.317
2Berkman,Lance 0.2790.3940.5170.394
3Pence,Hunter 0.2770.3370.4750.350
4Lee,Carlos 0.2980.3540.5140.372
5Matsui,Kaz 0.2610.3190.3730.312
6Towles,Justin 0.2430.3070.3750.300
7Feliz,Pedro 0.2540.3020.3910.303
8Manzella,Thomas 0.2470.2970.3460.286
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup with Keppinger
Expected Runs/Season: 682

(用Sullivan取代Bourn並不會打下更多分數)

# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Bourn,Michael 0.2600.3300.3540.317
2Keppinger,Jeff 0.2790.3360.3850.319
3Berkman,Lance 0.2790.3940.5170.394
4Lee,Carlos 0.2980.3540.5140.372
5Pence,Hunter 0.2770.3370.4750.350
6Matsui,Kaz 0.2610.3190.3730.312
7Towles,Justin 0.2430.3070.3750.300
8Feliz,Pedro 0.2540.3020.3910.303
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Cincinnati Reds

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 681
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Stubbs,Drew 0.2350.3070.3480.297
2Cabrera,Orlando 0.2910.3440.3960.332
3Votto,Joey 0.2930.3740.5000.378
4Phillips,Brandon 0.2760.3260.4460.339
5Rolen,Scott 0.2830.3520.4390.347
6Bruce,Jay 0.2510.3170.4590.333
7Gomes,Jonny 0.2430.3210.4710.342
8Hernandez,Ramon 0.2550.3230.3850.314
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 685
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Cabrera,Orlando 0.2910.3440.3960.332
2Votto,Joey 0.2930.3740.5000.378
3Gomes,Jonny 0.2430.3210.4710.342
4Rolen,Scott 0.2830.3520.4390.347
5Phillips,Brandon 0.2760.3260.4460.339
6Hernandez,Ramon 0.2550.3230.3850.314
7Bruce,Jay 0.2510.3170.4590.333
8Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
9Stubbs,Drew 0.2350.3070.3480.297
Optimized Lineup with Dickerson, Hanigan
Expected Runs/Season: 706

(ZiPS相當看衰Stubbs)

(這打線不管從傳統角度或stathead角度都相當地詭異)

# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Hanigan,Ryan 0.2670.3430.3570.317
2Dickerson,Chris 0.2470.3370.3940.330
3Votto,Joey 0.2930.3740.5000.378
4Rolen,Scott 0.2830.3520.4390.347
5Cabrera,Orlando 0.2910.3440.3960.332
6Phillips,Brandon 0.2760.3260.4460.339
7Gomes,Jonny 0.2430.3210.4710.342
8Bruce,Jay 0.2510.3170.4590.333
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Chicago Cubs

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 767
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Theriot,Ryan 0.2870.3520.3730.329
2Fukudome,Kosuke 0.2590.3660.4120.346
3Lee,Derrek 0.2930.3740.5020.379
4Ramirez,Aramis 0.2950.3640.5190.378
5Byrd,Marlon 0.2910.3410.4630.348
6Soriano,Alfonso 0.2680.3280.4940.353
7Fontenot,Mike 0.2630.3330.4210.331
8Soto,Geovany 0.2620.3470.4590.351
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 768
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Fukudome,Kosuke 0.2590.3660.4120.346
2Lee,Derrek 0.2930.3740.5020.379
3Soto,Geovany 0.2620.3470.4590.351
4Ramirez,Aramis 0.2950.3640.5190.378
5Theriot,Ryan 0.2870.3520.3730.329
6Byrd,Marlon 0.2910.3410.4630.348
7Fontenot,Mike 0.2630.3330.4210.331
8Soriano,Alfonso 0.2680.3280.4940.353
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup with Xavier Nady
Expected Runs/Season: 768

(事實上比使用Fukudome還低一點. 如果讓Fukudome和Nady一起先發, Byrd坐板凳, 一樣是768分)

# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Theriot,Ryan 0.2870.3520.3730.329
2Lee,Derrek 0.2930.3740.5020.379
3Soto,Geovany 0.2620.3470.4590.351
4Ramirez,Aramis 0.2950.3640.5190.378
5Byrd,Marlon 0.2910.3410.4630.348
6Fontenot,Mike 0.2630.3330.4210.331
7Nady,Xavier 0.2880.3320.4730.346
8Soriano,Alfonso 0.2680.3280.4940.353
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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2010/04/04

Lineup Evaluation - 2010 San Francisco Giants

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 688
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Rowand,Aaron 0.2730.3230.4310.328
2Sanchez,Freddy 0.2960.3330.4130.327
3Sandoval,Pablo 0.3200.3700.5160.380
4Huff,Aubrey 0.2700.3330.4480.338
5DeRosa,Mark 0.2730.3430.4340.341
6Molina,Bengie 0.2710.3000.4240.312
7Schierholtz,Nate 0.2890.3250.4590.338
8Renteria,Edgar 0.2800.3410.3880.326
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 695
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Renteria,Edgar 0.2800.3410.3880.326
2DeRosa,Mark 0.2730.3430.4340.341
3Huff,Aubrey 0.2700.3330.4480.338
4Sandoval,Pablo 0.3200.3700.5160.380
5Sanchez,Freddy 0.2960.3330.4130.327
6Rowand,Aaron 0.2730.3230.4310.328
7Schierholtz,Nate 0.2890.3250.4590.338
8Molina,Bengie 0.2710.3000.4240.312
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup with Posey, Lewis
Expected Runs/Season: 704

我也不曉得ZiPS為什麼那麼看好Fred Lewis......

# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Posey,Buster 0.2630.3420.3980.330
2Lewis,Fred 0.2740.3510.4270.343
3DeRosa,Mark 0.2730.3430.4340.341
4Sandoval,Pablo 0.3200.3700.5160.380
5Sanchez,Freddy 0.2960.3330.4130.327
6Renteria,Edgar 0.2800.3410.3880.326
7Huff,Aubrey 0.2700.3330.4480.338
8Rowand,Aaron 0.2730.3230.4310.328
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 San Diego Padres

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 580
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Gwynn,Anthony 0.2580.3260.3210.299
2Eckstein,David 0.2640.3170.3350.295
3Gonzalez,Adrian 0.2680.3660.5070.375
4Blanks,Kyle 0.2460.3250.4060.322
5Headley,Chase 0.2520.3250.3830.316
6Venable,Will 0.2490.3070.3850.307
7Hundley,Nicholas 0.2300.2910.3700.292
8Cabrera,Everth 0.2430.3170.3280.299
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 583
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Gwynn,Anthony 0.2580.3260.3210.299
2Headley,Chase 0.2520.3250.3830.316
3Blanks,Kyle 0.2460.3250.4060.322
4Gonzalez,Adrian 0.2680.3660.5070.375
5Cabrera,Everth 0.2430.3170.3280.299
6Eckstein,David 0.2640.3170.3350.295
7Venable,Will 0.2490.3070.3850.307
8Hundley,Nicholas 0.2300.2910.3700.292
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup with Scott Hairston
Expected Runs/Season: 597
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Headley,Chase 0.2520.3250.3830.316
2Blanks,Kyle 0.2460.3250.4060.322
3Gonzalez,Adrian 0.2680.3660.5070.375
4Hairston,Scott 0.2430.3050.4240.317
5Cabrera,Everth 0.2430.3170.3280.299
6Eckstein,David 0.2640.3170.3350.295
7Venable,Will 0.2490.3070.3850.307
8Hundley,Nicholas 0.2300.2910.3700.292
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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