2010/04/05

Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Milwaukee Brewers

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 698
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Weeks,Rickie 0.2400.3320.4190.333
2Escobar,Alcides 0.2790.3220.3780.315
3Braun,Ryan 0.2950.3560.5540.386
4Fielder,Prince 0.2770.3800.5520.397
5McGehee,Casey 0.2630.3220.3970.316
6Hart,Corey 0.2630.3210.4530.334
7Zaun,Gregg 0.2430.3460.3730.325
8Gomez,Carlos 0.2500.3040.3690.302
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 706
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Zaun,Gregg 0.2430.3460.3730.325
2Fielder,Prince 0.2770.3800.5520.397
3Weeks,Rickie 0.2400.3320.4190.333
4Braun,Ryan 0.2950.3560.5540.386
5Hart,Corey 0.2630.3210.4530.334
6Escobar,Alcides 0.2790.3220.3780.315
7Gomez,Carlos 0.2500.3040.3690.302
8McGehee,Casey 0.2630.3220.3970.316
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup with Gerut
Expected Runs/Season: 726

(不太確定Edmonds還能不能守CF, 不過ZiPS認為他是比Hart和Gerut都差的打者)

# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Zaun,Gregg 0.2430.3460.3730.325
2Fielder,Prince 0.2770.3800.5520.397
3Weeks,Rickie 0.2400.3320.4190.333
4Braun,Ryan 0.2950.3560.5540.386
5Gerut,Jody 0.2670.3260.4430.334
6Escobar,Alcides 0.2790.3220.3780.315
7Hart,Corey 0.2630.3210.4530.334
8McGehee,Casey 0.2630.3220.3970.316
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Houston Astros

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 662
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Bourn,Michael 0.2600.3300.3540.317
2Matsui,Kaz 0.2610.3190.3730.312
3Berkman,Lance 0.2790.3940.5170.394
4Lee,Carlos 0.2980.3540.5140.372
5Pence,Hunter 0.2770.3370.4750.350
6Feliz,Pedro 0.2540.3020.3910.303
7Towles,Justin 0.2430.3070.3750.300
8Manzella,Thomas 0.2470.2970.3460.286
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 663
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Bourn,Michael 0.2600.3300.3540.317
2Berkman,Lance 0.2790.3940.5170.394
3Pence,Hunter 0.2770.3370.4750.350
4Lee,Carlos 0.2980.3540.5140.372
5Matsui,Kaz 0.2610.3190.3730.312
6Towles,Justin 0.2430.3070.3750.300
7Feliz,Pedro 0.2540.3020.3910.303
8Manzella,Thomas 0.2470.2970.3460.286
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup with Keppinger
Expected Runs/Season: 682

(用Sullivan取代Bourn並不會打下更多分數)

# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Bourn,Michael 0.2600.3300.3540.317
2Keppinger,Jeff 0.2790.3360.3850.319
3Berkman,Lance 0.2790.3940.5170.394
4Lee,Carlos 0.2980.3540.5140.372
5Pence,Hunter 0.2770.3370.4750.350
6Matsui,Kaz 0.2610.3190.3730.312
7Towles,Justin 0.2430.3070.3750.300
8Feliz,Pedro 0.2540.3020.3910.303
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Cincinnati Reds

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 681
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Stubbs,Drew 0.2350.3070.3480.297
2Cabrera,Orlando 0.2910.3440.3960.332
3Votto,Joey 0.2930.3740.5000.378
4Phillips,Brandon 0.2760.3260.4460.339
5Rolen,Scott 0.2830.3520.4390.347
6Bruce,Jay 0.2510.3170.4590.333
7Gomes,Jonny 0.2430.3210.4710.342
8Hernandez,Ramon 0.2550.3230.3850.314
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 685
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Cabrera,Orlando 0.2910.3440.3960.332
2Votto,Joey 0.2930.3740.5000.378
3Gomes,Jonny 0.2430.3210.4710.342
4Rolen,Scott 0.2830.3520.4390.347
5Phillips,Brandon 0.2760.3260.4460.339
6Hernandez,Ramon 0.2550.3230.3850.314
7Bruce,Jay 0.2510.3170.4590.333
8Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
9Stubbs,Drew 0.2350.3070.3480.297
Optimized Lineup with Dickerson, Hanigan
Expected Runs/Season: 706

(ZiPS相當看衰Stubbs)

(這打線不管從傳統角度或stathead角度都相當地詭異)

# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Hanigan,Ryan 0.2670.3430.3570.317
2Dickerson,Chris 0.2470.3370.3940.330
3Votto,Joey 0.2930.3740.5000.378
4Rolen,Scott 0.2830.3520.4390.347
5Cabrera,Orlando 0.2910.3440.3960.332
6Phillips,Brandon 0.2760.3260.4460.339
7Gomes,Jonny 0.2430.3210.4710.342
8Bruce,Jay 0.2510.3170.4590.333
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Chicago Cubs

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 767
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Theriot,Ryan 0.2870.3520.3730.329
2Fukudome,Kosuke 0.2590.3660.4120.346
3Lee,Derrek 0.2930.3740.5020.379
4Ramirez,Aramis 0.2950.3640.5190.378
5Byrd,Marlon 0.2910.3410.4630.348
6Soriano,Alfonso 0.2680.3280.4940.353
7Fontenot,Mike 0.2630.3330.4210.331
8Soto,Geovany 0.2620.3470.4590.351
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 768
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Fukudome,Kosuke 0.2590.3660.4120.346
2Lee,Derrek 0.2930.3740.5020.379
3Soto,Geovany 0.2620.3470.4590.351
4Ramirez,Aramis 0.2950.3640.5190.378
5Theriot,Ryan 0.2870.3520.3730.329
6Byrd,Marlon 0.2910.3410.4630.348
7Fontenot,Mike 0.2630.3330.4210.331
8Soriano,Alfonso 0.2680.3280.4940.353
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup with Xavier Nady
Expected Runs/Season: 768

(事實上比使用Fukudome還低一點. 如果讓Fukudome和Nady一起先發, Byrd坐板凳, 一樣是768分)

# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Theriot,Ryan 0.2870.3520.3730.329
2Lee,Derrek 0.2930.3740.5020.379
3Soto,Geovany 0.2620.3470.4590.351
4Ramirez,Aramis 0.2950.3640.5190.378
5Byrd,Marlon 0.2910.3410.4630.348
6Fontenot,Mike 0.2630.3330.4210.331
7Nady,Xavier 0.2880.3320.4730.346
8Soriano,Alfonso 0.2680.3280.4940.353
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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2010/04/04

Lineup Evaluation - 2010 San Francisco Giants

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 688
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Rowand,Aaron 0.2730.3230.4310.328
2Sanchez,Freddy 0.2960.3330.4130.327
3Sandoval,Pablo 0.3200.3700.5160.380
4Huff,Aubrey 0.2700.3330.4480.338
5DeRosa,Mark 0.2730.3430.4340.341
6Molina,Bengie 0.2710.3000.4240.312
7Schierholtz,Nate 0.2890.3250.4590.338
8Renteria,Edgar 0.2800.3410.3880.326
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 695
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Renteria,Edgar 0.2800.3410.3880.326
2DeRosa,Mark 0.2730.3430.4340.341
3Huff,Aubrey 0.2700.3330.4480.338
4Sandoval,Pablo 0.3200.3700.5160.380
5Sanchez,Freddy 0.2960.3330.4130.327
6Rowand,Aaron 0.2730.3230.4310.328
7Schierholtz,Nate 0.2890.3250.4590.338
8Molina,Bengie 0.2710.3000.4240.312
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup with Posey, Lewis
Expected Runs/Season: 704

我也不曉得ZiPS為什麼那麼看好Fred Lewis......

# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Posey,Buster 0.2630.3420.3980.330
2Lewis,Fred 0.2740.3510.4270.343
3DeRosa,Mark 0.2730.3430.4340.341
4Sandoval,Pablo 0.3200.3700.5160.380
5Sanchez,Freddy 0.2960.3330.4130.327
6Renteria,Edgar 0.2800.3410.3880.326
7Huff,Aubrey 0.2700.3330.4480.338
8Rowand,Aaron 0.2730.3230.4310.328
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 San Diego Padres

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 580
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Gwynn,Anthony 0.2580.3260.3210.299
2Eckstein,David 0.2640.3170.3350.295
3Gonzalez,Adrian 0.2680.3660.5070.375
4Blanks,Kyle 0.2460.3250.4060.322
5Headley,Chase 0.2520.3250.3830.316
6Venable,Will 0.2490.3070.3850.307
7Hundley,Nicholas 0.2300.2910.3700.292
8Cabrera,Everth 0.2430.3170.3280.299
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 583
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Gwynn,Anthony 0.2580.3260.3210.299
2Headley,Chase 0.2520.3250.3830.316
3Blanks,Kyle 0.2460.3250.4060.322
4Gonzalez,Adrian 0.2680.3660.5070.375
5Cabrera,Everth 0.2430.3170.3280.299
6Eckstein,David 0.2640.3170.3350.295
7Venable,Will 0.2490.3070.3850.307
8Hundley,Nicholas 0.2300.2910.3700.292
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup with Scott Hairston
Expected Runs/Season: 597
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Headley,Chase 0.2520.3250.3830.316
2Blanks,Kyle 0.2460.3250.4060.322
3Gonzalez,Adrian 0.2680.3660.5070.375
4Hairston,Scott 0.2430.3050.4240.317
5Cabrera,Everth 0.2430.3170.3280.299
6Eckstein,David 0.2640.3170.3350.295
7Venable,Will 0.2490.3070.3850.307
8Hundley,Nicholas 0.2300.2910.3700.292
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Los Angeles Dodgers

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 777
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Furcal,Rafael 0.2750.3450.3840.328
2Kemp,Matt 0.3000.3580.5010.373
3Ethier,Andre 0.2860.3640.5060.374
4Ramirez,Manny 0.2900.3990.5380.403
5Loney,James 0.2920.3600.4440.353
6Blake,Casey 0.2680.3410.4550.346
7Martin,Russell 0.2720.3630.3920.340
8Dewitt,Blake 0.2500.3310.3970.322
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 783
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Martin,Russell 0.2720.3630.3920.340
2Ramirez,Manny 0.2900.3990.5380.403
3Ethier,Andre 0.2860.3640.5060.374
4Loney,James 0.2920.3600.4440.353
5Kemp,Matt 0.3000.3580.5010.373
6Furcal,Rafael 0.2750.3450.3840.328
7Blake,Casey 0.2680.3410.4550.346
8Dewitt,Blake 0.2500.3310.3970.322
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Colorado Rockies

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 750
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Gonzalez,Carlos 0.2700.3350.4590.346
2Fowler,Dexter 0.2610.3500.3790.329
3Helton,Todd 0.2910.4020.4420.376
4Tulowitzki,Troy 0.2800.3570.4870.363
5Hawpe,Brad 0.2890.3890.5240.392
6Iannetta,Chris 0.2410.3430.4370.341
7Stewart,Ian 0.2470.3300.4460.337
8Barmes,Clint 0.2590.3010.4130.309
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 754
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Helton,Todd 0.2910.4020.4420.376
2Hawpe,Brad 0.2890.3890.5240.392
3Iannetta,Chris 0.2410.3430.4370.341
4Tulowitzki,Troy 0.2800.3570.4870.363
5Gonzalez,Carlos 0.2700.3350.4590.346
6Stewart,Ian 0.2470.3300.4460.337
7Barmes,Clint 0.2590.3010.4130.309
8Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
9Fowler,Dexter 0.2610.3500.3790.329
Optimized Lineup with Seth Smith
Expected Runs/Season: 782
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Iannetta,Chris 0.2410.3430.4370.341
2Helton,Todd 0.2910.4020.4420.376
3Hawpe,Brad 0.2890.3890.5240.392
4Smith,Seth 0.2890.3690.4730.368
5Tulowitzki,Troy 0.2800.3570.4870.363
6Gonzalez,Carlos 0.2700.3350.4590.346
7Stewart,Ian 0.2470.3300.4460.337
8Barmes,Clint 0.2590.3010.4130.309
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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Lineup Evaluation - 2010 Arizona Diamondbacks

Projected Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 781
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Jackson,Conor 0.2780.3550.4410.350
2Drew,Stephen 0.2650.3300.4440.336
3Upton,Justin 0.2820.3650.5210.381
4LaRoche,Adam 0.2870.3680.5200.381
5Reynolds,Mark 0.2580.3420.5090.364
6Montero,Miguel 0.2750.3410.4510.344
7Young,Chris 0.2360.3160.4400.329
8Johnson,Kelly 0.2790.3540.4720.359
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
Optimized Lineup
Expected Runs/Season: 785
# Batter AVG OBP* SLG wOBA*
1Jackson,Conor 0.2780.3550.4410.350
2LaRoche,Adam 0.2870.3680.5200.381
3Reynolds,Mark 0.2580.3420.5090.364
4Upton,Justin 0.2820.3650.5210.381
5Johnson,Kelly 0.2790.3540.4720.359
6Montero,Miguel 0.2750.3410.4510.344
7Drew,Stephen 0.2650.3300.4440.336
8Young,Chris 0.2360.3160.4400.329
9Pitcher 0.1390.1830.1760.168
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Evaluate Lineups - 2010

決定來用Lineup Evaluator預估各隊先發打線和最佳化打線一年能打下多少分數.

(不是預估全年得分, 因為先發打線不可能完全全勤)

球員的成績使用ZiPS的預測.

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